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The Connecticut Sun (25-11) travel to meet the New York Liberty (28-7) Friday. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ION). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Sun head to Brooklyn looking to avenge a 95-90 overtime loss at Mohegan Sun Arena against the Liberty on Aug. 24. Connecticut did cover the 6-point number at most shops while cashing the Over (166.5).
Connecticut is a healthy 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, although it failed to cover a 14.5-point spread in Thursday’s 84-74 win over the Phoenix Mercury.
New York is flying high after topping the league-leading Las Vegas Aces yet again on Monday, winning 94-85 in Brooklyn as a 2-point favorite as the Over (174.5) cashed. The Liberty are now 7-2 ATS across the past 9 outings, while the Over has hit in 3 in a row.
Sun at Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:54 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Liberty -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Sun +8.5 (-115) | Liberty -8.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -115) | U: -105)
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Sun at Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 88, Sun 82
Moneyline
The Liberty (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive against a good team. The Sun (+275) played them tough in the most recent meeting, and the past 2 games have been decided by 8 or fewer points, although New York has won all 3 meetings this season.
PASS.
Against the spread
The SUN +8.5 (-115) might not win this one outright, but they’ll play the Liberty tough.
The Sun covered the most recent meeting on Aug. 24, a 5-point loss in overtime in Uncasville. Connecticut actually holds a 6-4 ATS edge in the previous 10 meetings despite going 1-2 ATS this season.
Connecticut is 3-1-1 ATS in the past 5 games overall, and 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 games against the Eastern Conference, while going 5-2-1 ATS in the previous 8 on the road.
New York is hot against the number, too, so be careful. It has covered 4 of the past 5 at home, and 8 of the past 10 overall. Still, this is a big number for 2 teams who know each other well.
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Over/Under
The OVER 161.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this Friday night battle in Gotham.
Connecticut has cashed the Over in 6 of the past 8 games against teams with a winning overall record, while New York has gone high in 9 of the past 10 against teams in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty are well rested, too, having last played Monday. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 for the Lib when playing on 3 or more days of rest.
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