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The Texas Rangers (75-57) and New York Mets (60-73) meet Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network), as they close out a 3-game set at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Texas leads 2-0
The Rangers have taken the 1st 2 games of a series that has thus far been dominated by pitching and defense. Just 10 total runs were scored over Monday’s and Tuesday’s games.
The Mets are just 1-6 over their last 7 games. Over that stretch, a scuffling New York offense has tallied just 13 runs on a .560 OPS.
Rangers at Mets projected starters
RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Denyi Reyes
Dunning (9-6, 3.36 ERA) is tabbed for his 21st start and 28th appearance this season. He owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 136 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 6 K in a 12-2 loss at Minnesota Twins Friday
- 2023 road stats: 3-4, 3.33 ERA in 7 1/3 IP in 15 games (11 starts)
- Has never faced the Mets as a starter
- Owns a 4,78 ERA over his last 7 starts
Reyes (0-2, 7.5 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 5.25 BB/9 and 9 K/9 in 12 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 4 BB, 4 K in 21-3 home loss the Atlanta Braves Aug. 12
- 2023 home stats: 0-2, 11.25 ERA in 8 IP in 4 games (2 starts)
- Has never faced the Rangers as a starter
- Being called up from Triple-A Syracuse for this turn. Owns 5.80 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 76 IP at Triple-A.
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Rangers at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Rangers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+105) | Mets +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Rangers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
No leverage on either side here: PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Reyes has allowed too much barreled-up contact in his limited action, but he’s also been undone by a .389 batting average on balls in play.
The Rangers offense figures as being out too far over its skis. And the back end of the Texas bullpen may be a tad compromised by fatigue if they are trying to close out a close game.
The Mets play in a lot of 1-run games. BET NEW YORK +1.5 (-125).
Over/Under
What has been an Under lean in games 1 and 2 gets enough pushback the other way for game 3: not a good enough return, some fade-Dunning lean, and a more fatigued Texas bullpen play in call
STEER CLEAR.
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