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New York Giants QB Daniel Jones had a breakout season in 2022, as he really took off under new coach Brian Daboll. It also helped that he had a healthy, and a determined, RB Saquon Barkley to take some of the pressure off of him.
Jones set career highs with a 67.2% completion percentage, 317 completions, 472 pass attempts, 3,205 passing yards, a career-low 5 INTs, a 92.5 QB rating and 120 rushing attempts for 708 yards and 7 rush TD. For fantasy purposes, he was posting borderline low-end QB1 stats, or must-start QB2 production, for a good chunk of the season.
Jones ended up getting paid, too. He inked a 4-year, $160 million contact with a $36 million signing bonus, with $9.5 million in base salary for 2023, and $36.5 million for 2024, all guaranteed. There are also plenty of financial incentives baked into his new deal, so don’t expect Jones to rest on his laurels.
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Daniel Jones’ ADP: 100.20
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)
For whatever reason, Jones just doesn’t get the same type of respect as some other dual-threat QBs in this league. And it’s not exactly like he plays in a market that isn’t big time.
In fact, statisically-speaking, Jones had extremely comparable seasons to players like Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (76.60) and Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins (80.97), although both of those players are going a full 2 or 3 rounds ahead of him on draft day.
And a lot of people give Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields (41.30) his flowers, and rightly so, but he had just 1 more rushing TD than Danny Dimes, while throwing for nearly 1,000 fewer yards!
Among quarterbacks, Jones’ ADP is 18th in redraft leagues, which is criminally low, well behind fellow MetLife Stadium resident and New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers (89.89), Tennessee Titans rookie QB Will Levis (94.28) and Detroit Lions rookie QB Hendon Hooker (98.56).
Jones’ ADP puts him just ahead of Houston Texans rookie QB C.J. Stroud (101.44) and Carolina Panthers rookie QB Bryce Young (103.43), rounding out the Top 20 among redraft QBs.
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Daniel Jones’ 2022 stats
Games: 16
Passing yards: 3,205
Completions | attempts: 317 | 472
Passing touchdowns: 15
Interceptions: 5
Carries | rushing yards: 120 | 708
Rushing touchdowns: 7
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Where should you draft Jones?
Look, I am not saying you should pin your fantasy hopes on Jones as a bona fide QB1. He’s just not that guy. But I also look at the ADP report, and there is no way I am taking any of the rookies over Jones. And some other guys of similar production are getting taken 2 or 3 rounds higher, and it just doesn’t make sense.
It’s like fantasy managers are expecting some sort of a regression from Jones, but it’s uncertain why. He is very similar to Fields, as both play the game with the same style. They’ll each rack up plenty of yards, although Fields is a more polished runner. Jones is a more polished passer, however, and he has a much better running back to take the pressure off. And Barkley can catch the ball better, too.
I just don’t understand why Jones is falling down to Rounds 8 or 9 in redraft leagues. If I’m in a 16-team league, and I can get Jones in the middle rounds, several rounds later than a fellow combatant taking Fields, Cousins, etc. way higher, I am ecstatic.
In dynasty leagues, Jones isn’t as attractive, but that’s OK. In fantasy formats starting 2 signal callers, he is a must-have before Round 10.
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