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Newcastle United (1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Liverpool (1-1-0) to St. James’ Park Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Newcastle went to Etihad Stadium to take on Manchester City last weekend and left with a 1-0 loss. It did end with 7 shots. Newcastle won its season-opening match at home 5-1 over Aston Villa. 23-year-old F Alexander Isak is the team’s key attacker, having scored 2 goals throughout the 2 matches. Newcastle ended last season with an 11-6-2 home record, winning 5 of its last 7 home matches.
Liverpool, a team with aspirations to win the league this season, drew Chelsea 1-1 on the road in its opener. It ended with 13 shots yet just 35% possession. It then beat Bournemouth 3-1 at home last weekend despite a 58th-minute red card. F Luis Diaz leads the team with 2 goals through the 2 matches, scoring the team’s only shot on frame in its opener. Liverpool was 6-5-8 on the road last season.
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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Newcastle United +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Liverpool +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +290
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)
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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool picks and predictions
Prediction
Newcastle United 1, Liverpool 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).
Newcastle lost to both Liverpool and Arsenal at home last season and then drew Man City 3-3 at home. This is a better Newcastle team, but those same struggles against top-tier sides at home could remain. It had 7 fewer shots and just 41% possession against Man City last weekend, so it might not quite be as good as expected.
Liverpool wasn’t too competent last season on the road, drawing or losing 13 of 19. It drew 5 last season. Liverpool drew Chelsea on the road to open the season and should find a similar result here.
For a small unit, sprinkle DRAW (+290).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER ALTERNATE 2.5 (+150).
Liverpool was tied for the fewest goals allowed in the 2021-22 season and had a strong defense again last year. D Virgil van Djik still leads the backline, and it has given up just 1 goal per game this season, allowing up 4 shots goal against Chelsea. Liverpool scored in its lone shot on frame against Chelsea, so that wasn’t an overly convincing showing for its attack.
Newcastle had just 1 shot on frame against City, which countered the 5 goals it put on Aston Villa in its opener. Newcastle has allowed 1 goal per game and scored 2.5, but again, this will be a highly competitive match with likely fewer opportunities.
Take UNDER 2.5 (+150).
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