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The Toronto Blue Jays (68-56) and Cincinnati Reds (64-60) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Blue Jays won 4-3 as -131 road favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Blue Jays 2B Davis Schneider hit a tiebreaking solo HR in the 5th inning that stood as the winner in All-Star SS Bo Bichette‘s first MLB game since July 31.
Toronto is just 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is a half-game back of the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.
The Reds are 5-5 in their last 10 contests and are tied with the Chicago Cubs for the final NL Wild Card spot and 3 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central.
Blue Jays at Reds projected starters
LHP Hyun Jin Ryu vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Ryu (1-1, 2.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 14 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 R (0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 11-4 home victory vs. Cubs last Sunday
- 2023 road stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 IP) in 1 start, a 3-1 victory at Cleveland Guardians on Aug. 7
- Career vs. Reds: 5-2, 3.23 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 8 starts — last faced Cincinnati in 2022
Greene (2-4, 3.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 10-3 victory at Houston Astros June 17
- 2023 home stats: 0-3, 5.18 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 14 ER) in 5 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 3-1 road loss May 21, 2022
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Blue Jays at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
The Reds should bounce back after losing a close one Saturday.
Ryu has looked good in back-to-back outings but has been unable to go deeper than 5 innings in his 3 starts this season.
Cincinnati has been the slightly better team lately and should be able to take this 3-game series at home, especially with Greene on the mound.
BET REDS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
Cincinnati +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Reds should win straight up.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
The Under is 8-2 in the Reds’ last 10 games and 7-3 in Toronto’s last 10.
Both pitchers have given up 0 earned runs in their last 2 starts and should help the Under hit once again in this series finale.
BET UNDER 9.5 (-120).
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