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The Detroit Tigers (54-66) and Cleveland Guardians (58-63) meet Thursday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 4-2
Detroit won 8-7 as +161 road underdogs in the series finale vs. the Minnesota Twins Wednesday. The Twins led 4-0 heading into the 4th inning when the Tigers came alive, scoring 8 runs that went unanswered until the bottom the 9th when the Twins scored 3. Detroit broke a 2-game losing streak with Wednesday’s win and sit at 5-5 in their last 10.
Cleveland’s short 2-game winning streak ended Wednesday as the Guardians lost 7-2 in the series finale vs. the Cincinnati Reds. Cleveland tied the game at 1-all in the top of the 3rd, but quickly fell behind and trailed 5-1 by the end of the 4th. The Guardians are now 4-6 in their last 10 overall.
Tigers at Guardians projected starters
LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Xzavion Curry
Skubal (2-2, 4.18 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-2 road loss Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
- Career vs. Cleveland: 0-2, 4.40 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 27 H, 8 BB, 31 K in 6 starts
Curry (3-1, 3.39 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 69 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a 9-8 road loss Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Career vs. Detroit: 0-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 14 H, 1 BB, 7 K across 3 appearances (1 start)
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Tigers at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+145) | Guardians +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 2, Guardians 1
Moneyline
LEAN TIGERS (-115).
Detroit is the slight hotter team and holds the slight lead in recent matchups. The Tigers are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings and 5-3 in their last 8 games overall. The Tigers are below .500 (28-33) on the road this year, but I like them to pull off the win in the series opener.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Guardians to cover here especially as they are better at home than the Tigers are on the road, but at +1.5 (-175) the line is far too risky. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
For Detroit the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. For Cleveland the Under is 7-3 in their last 10 overall and 2-1 in Curry’s last 3 starts. The Under is also 5-0-1 in the last 6 Detroit-Cleveland meetings overall and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.
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