The Detroit Tigers (53-65) and Minnesota Twins (62-58) open up a 2-game set at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 7-4
The Tigers are 5-5 over the last 10 games and come into this series with some confidence. Not only have they taken it to the Twins this season, they are 21-13 within the AL Central. Detroit sits 8 games out in the division despite being 12 games under .500.
The Twins return home from a 7-game road trip on a 2-game win streak. They are 6-4 over the last 10 outings as they hold a 4 1/2-game lead atop the AL Central. Minnesota is 17-13 over its last 30 games and 22-18 within the division.
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Tigers at Twins projected starters
RHP Alex Faedo vs. RHP Bailey Ober
Faedo (2-4, 5.80 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 40 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K Wednesday against the Twins
- 2 career starts vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 10 K in 9 2/3 IP
Ober (6-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 9 K Wednesday at the Tigers
- Last 5 starts vs. Detroit: 1-2, 5.06 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 29 K in 26 2/3 IP
Tigers at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Twins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-135) | Twins -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Tigers at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 5, Twins 4
Moneyline
These pitchers squared off Wednesday, and Detroit took it by a 9-5 score. The Twins should be favored, but they’re not worth consideration at -200. The Tigers have beaten them 7 of 11 times and are worth sprinkling on the ML. Ober has allowed 12 ER in 14 innings over his last 3 starts.
The price is right for TIGERS (+165).
Run line/Against the spread
The Tigers are 32-27 on the RL on the road this season, which is solid for a team 12 games under .500. The Twins are just 24-33 ATS at home.
Take the TIGERS +1.5 (-135) if you can’t quite buy into them on the ML.
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Over/Under
The Tigers are 3-7 O/U over the last 10 games and Minnesota is 4-5-1. The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 between the teams. Faedo has pitched in 4 of 5 Overs, and the Over is 3-1-1 in Ober’s last 5.
This number has cashed in 4 of the last 10 meetings so it can go either way. I will LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).
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