New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (58-55) and Chicago White Sox (49-65) get together Tuesday night as they continue a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-1

New York dropped Monday’s series lid-lifter 5-1. The Yankees failed to leverage 8 walks and were just 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position. In going 1-3 over its last 4 games, New York is 5-for-32 (.132) in such situations.

The White Sox earned a 3rd straight win Monday for the first time since June 2-8 when the ball club won 5 in a row. Chicago has scored 17 runs over its last 3 games; the Sox scored just 16 runs over their previous 7 games.

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Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Touki Toussaint

Schmidt (7-6, 4.35 ERA) makes his 23rd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 win vs. Houston Astros Thursday
  • 2023 road starts: 4-1, 4.91 ERA in 44 IP over 9 starts
  • Only career start vs. Chicago: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 3-2 home loss on June 6
  • Owns a 6:1 K:BB ratio over his last 6 starts. Schmidt’s ERA over that stretch is 4.28, but that has come against a tough schedule.

Toussaint (1-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 7th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 41 1/3 IP for the White Sox and Cleveland Guardians.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 11-1 road loss at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 0-3, 5.47 ERA in 26 1/3 IP
  • Has career start vs. Yankees: Loss, 4 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K on Aug. 11, 2020, as member of Atlanta Braves

Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | White Sox +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

Chicago went just 3-9 across 12 home games in July, but the club has had solid stretches in its home park. From April 30-June 25, the Pale Hose went a robust 17-11 at home. They are playing just their 2nd series at home since the second half got underway.

Playing under their expected win percentage up through the end of July, the Sox have been a lean in recent games. But that angle may be dulling now, and this is not the best pitching match-ups to leverage it much further. A Chicago (+135) line would be intriguing. But a PASS is suggested unless the line drifts that far.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID. The higher-value target here is the Total.

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Over/Under

The righty-righty mound match-up works against both offenses. And both are second-division units at their core.

Since July 1, New York has registered a .647 OPS on the road. The bullpens are in decent shape heading into this game.

In Chicago home games, the Under has gone 29-22-2. The total has gone Under in 8 of Chicago’s last 10 games. And the Under has hit 5 of the last 6 Yankees-White Sox games.

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean. Check out FanDuel Sportsbook for better leverage on this play — they tag this one as UNDER 9 (-105).

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