The Minnesota Twins (59-54) open a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers (49-62) on Monday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 4-3
The Twins defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3 Sunday to extend their winning streak to 4 games. Minnesota is 4 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for 1st place in the AL Central.
The Tigers lost 10-6 to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday as they were outscored 20-10 in the 3-game series. Detroit is 9 games back of Minnesota in the division.
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Twins at Tigers projected starters
RHP Pablo Lopez vs. LHP Joey Wentz
Lopez (6-6, 4.01 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 134 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 3-4, 3.39 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 27 ER) over 12 starts
- One career start vs. Tigers: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 3-2 road loss on June 24
Wentz (2-9, 6.37 ERA) makes his 16th start (18th appearance). He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 76 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 5-0 road win over the Miami Marlins on July 29
- Home stats: 0-3, 6.18 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 27 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Career vs. Twins: 0-2, 2.29 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 5 ER) across 4 starts
Twins at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Twins at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Tigers 3
Moneyline
While the Twins (-165) should extend their winning streak on Monday, I’ll PASS on taking their money line unless you can get it at -160 or better odds.
Run line/Against the spread
TWINS -1.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the run line as Minnesota should have success against Wentz. In the first 7 meetings between these teams this season, the winner has won by multiple runs in 6 of them.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the pick in this divisional bout as Lopez should limit the Tigers on Monday. Besides Lopez’s expected success on the mound, the Twins have the 20th-best wOBA (.303) and wRC+ (93) against left-handed pitching since the start of July.
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