The Houston Astros (62-48) will play the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the New York Yankees (57-52) on Friday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0 after a 4-3 win Thursday
Thursday’s loss snapped a 3-game win streak for the Astros. Houston has won 6 of its last 10 games and is 1 1/2 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West race.
The Yankees got back-to-back home runs from OF Giancarlo Stanton and OF Billy McKinney in the 1st inning which proved to be the difference in Thursday’s victory. New York remains in last place in the AL East and is 10 games behind the 1st place Baltimore Orioles.
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Astros at Yankees projected starters
RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Luis Severino
Brown (7-7, 4.12 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 111 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 17-4 home win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 4-3, 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER) in 11 starts
- Never faced the Yankees
Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.84 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 57 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-3 road loss vs. Orioles Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 2-1, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER) in 5 starts
- Career vs. Astros: 2-3, 3.82 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 16 ER) in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
Astros at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros 1.5 (+110) | Yankees +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 7, Yankees 3
Moneyline
The ASTROS (-145) are the easy pick Friday with Severino pitching for the Yankees. New York has lost 4 of Severino’s last 5 starts.
Run line/Against the spread
The ASTROS -1.5 (+110) are a fantastic value as Houston’s bats should have no issue doing damage on Severino. Brown has been solid this season and he’s coming off a start in which he limited the Tampa Bay Rays to only 2 runs over 6 innings.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-110).
Severino is struggling against batters on both sides of the plate this season, and the Astros can potentially hit the Over themselves. Houston’s lineup is getting healthy and Severino has given up at least 7 earned runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.
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