Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (64-41) and Toronto Blue Jays (59-47) open a 4-game set Monday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network/MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-1

The Orioles won 9-3 as -152 home favorites vs. the New York Yankees Sunday. Baltimore has lost 3 of its last 5 contests, but still has a 1½-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

The Blue Jays lost 3-2 as -191 home favorites vs. the Los Angeles Angels Sunday. Toronto has won 5 of its last 7 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 5½ games back of the Orioles.

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Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Gibson (9-6, 4.68 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 127 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • Road stats: 5-3, 4.14 ERA (78 1/3 IP, 36 ER) in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 6-2, 4.46 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 35 ER) in 12 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 6-2 road win May 19

Bassitt (10-5, 3.91 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 126 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 8-7 loss in 10 innings at Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday
  • Home stats: 6-1, 2.24 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 16 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-1, 4.55 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 15 ER) in 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 3 IP, 8 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, an 11-6 road loss June 13

Orioles at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Orioles 3

Moneyline

The Orioles were struggling offensively and had averaged just 2.8 runs over their previous 5 games before erupting for 9 runs Sunday.

Bassitt has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 6 straight starts and Toronto has gone 5-1 over that stretch. Look for Bassitt to have a bounce-back performance vs. Baltimore after giving up 8 earned runs in the 1st meeting this season.

BET BLUE JAYS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

Baltimore +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Toronto ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under is 25-15-3 this season when the Blue Jays are home favorites.

Bassitt has been consistent lately and with Baltimore’s recent offensive struggles, I prefer the Under in this spot.

LEAN UNDER 9 (-105).

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