2023 Women’s World Cup: England vs. Denmark odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s England vs. Denmark odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

In each nation’s 2nd Group D battle, England (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses) takes on Denmark (1-0-0) on Friday with kickoff from Allianz Stadium set for 4:30 a.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the England vs. Denmark odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

England used a 29th-minute penalty kick from M Georgia Stanway to beat Haiti 1-0 in its opener. It had 21 shots and 11 on target, which respectively was 14 and 9 more than Haiti. It also had possession for 75% of the match. England is 4th in the FIFA Women’s World Rankings and is among the favorites to win the World Cup.

Denmark also won its opener, 1-0 over China, so the winner of this match will automatically go through to the knockout stage. Denmark had 13 shots and 2 on target against China, although it didn’t quite dominate like England. China had 9 shots and 2 on target, possessing 44% of the match. In a strong group, Denmark sits 13th in the world ranking with wins this year over No. 3 Sweden and No. 12 Norway.

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England vs. Denmark odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: England -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Denmark +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Draw +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

England vs. Denmark picks and predictions

Prediction

England 1, Denmark 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+310).

Denmark has been impressive during the calendar year and played China well. While it didn’t dominate China, both were top-15 sides, so it was a good competitive match. Denmark showed its depth. It has wins over Japan, Sweden, Uruguay and Norway this season, having only lost to top-6 sides.

England has drawn 3 of its last 5 matches, going 1-3-1 over that span, having lost 2-0 to Australia on April 11 and drawing both games in July before beating Haiti. These teams are closer on paper than the rankings suggest.

That said, back DRAW (+310) for a small unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-160).

Denmark had 2 shots on target and held China to 2 shots on target. England’s 1 goal despite having 21 shots actually should be seen as an issue as well. Having 11 shots on target and 1 goal showcases lesser-than-expected finishing, which could mean it’ll struggle with fewer opportunities against Denmark.

Denmark has gone Under in in 4 straight matches and in 6 of 7 games this calendar year. England has gone Under in 5 straight matches and was held scoreless in 3 of those. England doesn’t have a single player on its team with 20+ international goals, and it has 3 players with 60+ caps on its defensive line.

The experience on the backline yet not in the final 3rd is cause for concern when it comes to its attack. Twelve of 18 games have gone Under 2.5 through Tuesday. Back UNDER 2.5 (-160).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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