The Minnesota Twins (50-48) welcome the Chicago White Sox (41-57) to Target Field Friday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
The White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games, but they are just 4-8 over their last 12. Chicago most recently lost 2 of 3 to the New York Mets, but capped off the series with a 6-2 win. It sits 4th in the AL Central and is 20-32 on the road this season.
The Twins are 26-22 at home and are 2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top spot in the AL Central. They have won 5 of their last 7 games. Minnesota lost 5-0 to Seattle in its last game Thursday.
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White Sox at Twins projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Joe Ryan
Lynn (6-8, 6.06 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 108 1/3 innings.
- Leads majors in ER (73) and HRs allowed (24)
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 win over Atlanta Braves on Saturday
- White Sox are 8-11 in his starts
Ryan (8-6, 3.77 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-4 win over last Friday over the Oakland Athletics
- Twins are 11-8 in his 19 starts
- Is 5-3 with a 3.32 ERA at home
White Sox at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-150) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 7, White Sox 2
Moneyline
PASS.
The value doesn’t justify a play on the moneyline here.
Minnesota is (-165) to win outright but is just 26-22 at home this season and 5-5 over its last 10 games. The White Sox haven’t performed well on the road or recently; their (+140) price tag also makes sense.
Regardless, it’s a pass here.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN TWINS -1.5 (+125).
The White Sox have 36-year-old Lynn on the mound, and in 10 of the 11 team losses when he started, Chicago has lost by multiple runs. He has given up at least 3 ER in 7 of his last 8 starts.
Only 3 teams in the MLB are above .500 as a run line favorite. The Twins are 29-35, tied for the 11th-best covering rate. Considering Ryan has been better at home and Lynn’s season-long struggles, take the TWINS -1.5 (+125).
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
Minnesota has been electric on the total lately. It is 7-1 O/U on its last 8 games, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 of its 4 games against the Mariners.
Lynn should give it ample opportunity to keep the bats hot here. Chicago is 2-3 O/U in its last 5, but has done its part, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 of its last 5 games.
With both teams hitting well lately, take the OVER 8 (-115).
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