The Los Angeles Dodgers (54-39) take on the Baltimore Orioles (57-36) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 p.m (TBS). ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0 after 6-4 win Monday
Baltimore took an early lead in the series opener thanks to an RBI double from DH Ryan Mountcastle in the 1st inning and was ahead 4-1 through 5 frames of play. However, a 5-run 6th inning pulled the Dodgers in front.
Los Angeles 1B Freddie Freeman opened the gates with a triple and scored on a single by C Will Smith. Two walks in the inning loaded the bases, and with 2 outs SS Chris Taylor hit a grand slam to make it 6-4.
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Dodgers at Orioles projected starters
RHP Michael Grove vs. RHP Tyler Wells
Grove (1-2, 6.89 ERA) makes his 9th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 47 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-2 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates July 3
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in relief in 10-5 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels July 8
- 1.01 OPS against left-handed batters
- Allows .383 batting average with RISP
Wells (7-4, 3.14 ERA) makes his 18th start and 19th appearance. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 104 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-2 road win at Minnesota Twins July 8
- Has 7.38 strikeout-to-walk ratio in Baltimore vs. 2.75 K:BB mark on road
- Allows .174 batting average when batter is ahead in count
Dodgers at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-175) | Orioles -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dodgers at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Dodgers 4
Moneyline
Besides the obvious benefit to the Orioles of playing at home where they are 29-19, they’re just as dominant off a loss (22-13). On the flip side, the Dodgers have just a 26-27 record after a win.
Baltimore RHP Tyler Wells has thrown 5 quality starts in his last 6 games, and it spells trouble for Los Angeles if that continues.
BET ORIOLES (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles are the best team against the spread on the road (33-12), but they are surprisingly bad at home (22-26) and are worse as favorites in Camden Yards (15-21 ATS).
Pair that with the Dodgers who, as road underdogs, have a remarkable 13-2 record ATS, I just can’t get behind Baltimore to cover.
For those trying to bet both markets it’s smarter to grab WINNING MARGIN: ORIOLES BY 1 (+475) instead of betting the Dodgers +1.5 (-175).
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Over/Under
The Dodgers are the best Over team in MLB with a 52-36-5 record, but when you look a bit closer it’s really just from their games coming off a loss. The Dodgers have a 24-13-2 Over record off a loss, but their Over trend falls to 27-23-3 after a win.
The Orioles lean towards the Under (21-24-3) at home and are nearly even as a favorite (23-22-7). I think it’s best to PASS.
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