The Cleveland Guardians (45-47) and Texas Rangers (54-39) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-0
Texas won 2-0 as -157 home favorites Saturday, scoring single runs in the 1st and 2nd innings and making it hold up. SP Andrew Heaney pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings with 4 K’s and only 1 BB. The Rangers have now won back-to-back games after losing the last 2 before the All-Star break. Texas is 4-6 in its last 10.
The Guardians are now on a 3-game losing streak after a 3-game winning streak and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Cleveland is 21-25 on the road while Texas is 29-18 at home.
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Guardians at Rangers projected starters
RHP Tanner Bibee vs. LHP Martin Perez
Bibee (5-2, 3.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 70 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 6-1 home win July 6 vs. the Kansas City Royals
- First start vs. Texas for the 24-year-old rookie
Perez (7-3, 4.81 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 91 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 0 K in a 12-11 home loss July 3 vs. the Houston Astros
- Career vs. Cleveland: 1-2, 8.16 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 31 H, 21 K, 2.09 WHIP in 8 appearances (5 starts)
Guardians at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Guardians at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Rangers 3
Moneyline
LEAN GUARDIANS (+110).
The Rangers are a solid home team, but I like the Guardians here because Texas is 0-3 in Perez’s last 3 starts vs. Cleveland and 2-3 in his last 5 overall.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Guardians at +1.5 (-175) are a very solid bet since I think they will win outright, but it’s simply not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
If you like the Rangers to win then you can place a small wager on them at -1.5 (+145).
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (+100).
The Under is 3-0 in Bibee’s last 3 starts overall and 5-2 in the last 7 games overall for Cleveland. The Under is also 5-3 in the last 8 overall for Texas.
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