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The Chicago Cubs (38-45) and the Milwaukee Brewers (46-39) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Tuesday at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 3-1
The Cubs suffered their 2nd consecutive 8-6 setback Monday, as they also lost by the same score in the series finale Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians. The Chicago pitching staff has coughed up 6 or more runs in each of the last 3 outings. The Cubs are also 1-7 in the last 8 games overall.
The Brewers have won 3 in a row after Monday’s victory, and 1st-place Milwaukee looks for its 1st 4-game win streak since April 16-19. The Brew Crew has averaged 8.0 runs per game (RPG) across the last 4 outings, and it’s no surprise the Over has cashed in each of those contests.
Chicago has dropped 9 of the last 11 games against teams with a winning record, while going 1-5 in the last 6 games following a loss.
Milwaukee has won 6 of the last 7 games inside the NL Central, while going 5-1 in the last 6 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.
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Cubs at Brewers projected starters
RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. LHP Wade Miley
Hendricks (3-3, 2.81 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 home loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
- 2023 road splits: 2-1, 1.77 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 4 ER) with a .114 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts
Miley (5-2, 3.02 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 over 56 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 5-2 road win vs. the New York Mets last Wednesday
- 2023 home splits: 3-1, 3.33 ERA (27 IP, 10 ER – 4 HR) with a .238 OBA in 5 starts
Cubs at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 3, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The CUBS (+100) are a solid play at even-money to bounce back after Monday’s series-opening loss.
It’s going to be a tough one for the visitors, as the Brewers (-120) are 4-0 in Miley’s last 4 starts.
Hendricks enjoyed a solid June, going 3-2 with a 2.51 ERA and he had 4 quality starts in the 5 outings. He has also won his only start against a Central Division foe this season.
Run line/Against the spread
The Cubs +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive. If you like Chicago, just play it straight up.
While the Cubs are just 2-9 in the last 11 road games against winning teams, it is 7-2 in the last 9 inside the division despite Monday’s loss, while still going 4-1 in the last 5 road games. The trends are a bit conflicting, so PASS.
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Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-115) is the play, even though the Over has cashed in 4 in a row for the Brewers. However, the Under is 21-6-2 in the past 29 home games against a team with a losing overall record.
Despite Monday’s Over, the Under is still 12-4-1 in the past 17 road games for the Cubs, while going 4-1 in the past 5 road outings against teams with a winning record.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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