The Minnesota Twins (41-42) and Baltimore Orioles (48-32) play the 2nd game of their 3-game series on Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Orioles and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 1-0
The Twins broke their 3-game losing streak on Friday night in Baltimore with an 8-1 victory over the Orioles. In their previous series at the Atlanta Braves, Minnesota struggled to scored, producing just 3 runs during the 3-game series. The Twins are 11-13 against the AL East this season.
The Orioles are 3-4 on their current 9-game homestand after Friday’s loss. Despite the defeat, Baltimore is 14-6 against the AL Central this season.
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Twins at Orioles projected starters
RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Ober (4-4, 2.97 ERA) will make his 13th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 69 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 road victory in extra innings vs. the Detroit Tigers Sunday
- 2023 away splits: 2-1, 2.59 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 7 ER), .195 OBA in 4 starts
- First start against the Orioles
Bradish (4-3, 3.75 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 72 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 7 K in a 3-2 home victory vs. the Seattle Mariners Sunday
- Only start vs Twins: No-decision, 4 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 9-4 home victory on May 4, 2022
- Has allowed 2 ER or fewer over his last 3 starts
Twins at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Orioles -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-176) | Orioles -1.5 (+146)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Twins at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Twins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
If this same game was played 1 month ago, I would have been all over this ORIOLES (-134) moneyline. However, Baltimore has struggled on this homestand. While I believe they bounce back on Saturday afternoon and score a victory, I don’t feel strongly enough about it to make this bet.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I’m not confident in Baltimore on the moneyline, so I definitely don’t believe they’ll win by multiple runs. The odds are tempting, but I feel like it’s a total crap shoot. I’m going to look at the run total for this game.
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Over/Under
I really like the UNDER 8.5 (-104).
The Twins are 1 of the lowest-scoring road teams in the league at under 4 runs per game. They are also batting just .218 away from Target Field. Ober has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 6 starts.
Believe it or not, the Orioles actually average less runs at home than they do on the road this season. Bradish has also not allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 6 starts.
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