The Milwaukee Brewers (38-36) and Cleveland Guardians (36-38) open a 3-game set Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since the Brewers swept a 3-game series in 2021
The Brewers lost 5-1 as +138 home underdogs vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday. Milwaukee has won 4 of its last 6 contests and is 1 1/2 games back of the Cincinnati Reds for the lead in the NL Central.
The Guardians won 6-1 as -164 home favorites vs. the Oakland Athletics Thursday. Cleveland has won 4 straight contests and is 1 game behind the Minnesota Twins for the lead in the AL Central.
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Brewers at Guardians projected starters
LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Shane Bieber
Miley (4-2, 3.28 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 over 46 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-0 win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
- Career vs. Guardians: 2-4, 3.97 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 47 H, 4 HR, 18 BB, 31 K in 9 starts
Bieber (5-4, 3.51 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 across 95 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-3 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- Only career start vs. Brewers: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 4-1 win at home on September 6, 2020
Brewers at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-185) | Guardians -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Brewers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
Milwaukee is 6-2 in its last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest and should bounce back after Wednesday’s loss.
Cleveland is 2-9 in its last 11 interleague home games vs. teams with a winning record and just 13-14 as a home favorite this season. Bieber’s 3.51 ERA is his highest since his rookie season and he’s no longer a lock to win as a starting pitcher.
BET BREWERS (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
Milwaukee +1.5 (-185) should win, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when it should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Under is 7-2-1 in Milwaukee’s last 10 games after allowing 5 or more runs in its previous contest.
The Under has also hit in Cleveland’s last 6 interleague home games and should cash again Friday as the Guardians’ offense comes back down to Earth after scoring a total of 13 runs in its last 2 games.
BET UNDER 8 (-110).
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