The Seattle Mariners (35-36) and New York Yankees (40-33) will play Game 2 of their series on Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 3-1
The Mariners have been up and down as of late, going 5-5 in their last 10 games. On Tuesday night they lost 3-1 to Yankees SP Gerrit Cole and they’ve now alternated wins and losses in their last 6 contests. They boast the 10th-best team ERA (3.87) this season, but rank 20th in runs scored (309).
The Yankees snapped their 4-game losing streak by beating the Mariners Tuesday, after getting swept in 3 games by the Boston Red Sox last weekend. Despite their 3rd-ranked team era (3.73), the Yankees are still 9.5 games back in the AL East, in part due to their slumping bats (17th in runs).
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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Jhony Brito
Castillo (4-5, 2.73 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 82 1/3 innings.
- Has been excellent in his last 5 starts, allowing 6 ER in 30 2/3 IP, which has lowered his ERA from 3.31 to 2.73
- Despite pitching well, he’s lost each of his last 3 starts because the Mariners scored 5 total runs in those games
Brito (3-3, 5.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 40 1/3 innings.
- Yankees have won his last 3 starts, though he got the win in just 1 of those
- Longest outing of the season was 5 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays last week, allowing 1 ER
Mariners at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Yankees +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+105) | Yankees +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mariners at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Yankees 3
Moneyline
The Yankees are in a rut right now and the only reason they got out of it a little bit was because they had Cole on the mound Tuesday night. I like the Mariners over the rookie starter in Brito, who isn’t going to pitch deep into the game regardless.
With the way Castillo is dealing, BET MARINERS (-160) to bounce back from a narrow loss Tuesday.
Run line/Against the spread
When the Mariners do win games, it’s not often by just 1 run. In 5 of their last 6 wins, they won by at least 2 runs, which is about how I expect Wednesday’s game to go. The Yankees lost each of their last 3 games by at least 3 runs, struggling to keep their games close when they do lose.
BET MARINERS -1.5 (+105) to cover the run line.
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Over/Under
The Over/Under is set fairly low at just 7 runs, a total that’s gone Over in 2 of their 4 meetings so far this season. Castillo should be able to manage the Yankees’ lineup, which isn’t as potent as it’s been in recent years, but Brito could struggle against Seattle.
BET OVER 7 (-120).
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