The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-29) and the Milwaukee Brewers (37-35) play the middle contest of a 3-game series at American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-1
The Diamondbacks rolled up a 9-1 win in the series opener as slight underdogs (+105) behind RHP Merrill Kelly. Arizona outhit Milwaukee by an 11-3 margin. The Snakes have won 3 of their past 4 games while averaging 5.8 runs per game on offense.
The Brewers’ loss snapped a 3-game win streak and dropped them to 2nd place in the NL Central behind the Cincinnati Reds. Milwaukee has just won 3 of its last 8 games at home. The Brewers are now just 1-6 in the past 7 games against the NL West.
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Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Colin Rea
Nelson (3-4, 5.30 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
- 2023 road splits: 1-1, 3.09 ERA (32 IP, 11 ER) with a .241 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
Rea (3-4, 4.71 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 road loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Wednesday
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.40 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .248 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
Diamondbacks at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5
Moneyline
The BREWERS (-120) are worth a look as they try to bounce back after the disappointing blowout loss to the Diamondbacks in the opener.
Rea twirled 5 scoreless innings with 3 hits and 1 walk allowed while striking 8 out batters the last time he pitched at home. He has won 2 of his past 3 outings at home, too.
The Diamondbacks can’t be trusted with Nelson on the bump. He is just 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 14 1/3 IP across 3 June starts.
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) are too expensive in Game 2 of this series, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return.
It’s tempting to play Arizona as an underdog, however, as it has won each of the past 2 straight up as a ‘dog, while going 4-1 in the past 5 on the run line as an underdog. Still, this is way too much to risk for a small reward.
AVOID.
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Over/Under
The lean is to the OVER 9 (-110), and Arizona took care of the total itself on Monday.
The Over is 5-2-2 in the past 9 games overall for the Diamondbacks and is 7-1-2 in their past 10 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against NL Central foes, too.
The Under is 11-5-2 in the Brewers’ past 18 games overall, but the Over has cashed at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 home games against teams with a winning overall mark. Go high on the total, but go lightly.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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