The Los Angeles Angels (36-31) and Texas Rangers (41-23) open up a 4-game set Monday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is at 8:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-1
The Angels have won 6 of their last 7 games and took 2 of 3 from the Seattle Mariners over the weekend, including a 9-4 victory Sunday. Los Angeles has pulled within 6 1/2 games of the division-leading Rangers, so this will be a big series.
The Rangers have dropped 3 of their last 4 outings, including a 7-3 loss at the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday, but are still 14-6 over their last 20 games. Texas is also tough at home at 21-9 and has dominated the AL West at 14-5.
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Angels at Rangers projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Dane Dunning
Anderson (3-1, 5.62 ERA) makes his 12th start of 2023. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K vs. Chicago Cubs Tuesday
- Last 5 starts vs. Rangers: 1-0, 2.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 22 K in 28 2/3 IP
Dunning (5-1, 2.52 ERA) makes his 7th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 53 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday
- Last 5 starts vs. Angels: 1-1, 3.49 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 29 K in 28 1/3 IP
Angels at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rangers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-145) | Rangers -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Angels at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Angels 4
Moneyline
The Rangers are clicking. They had trouble containing the Tampa Bay Rays, but they’re getting enough pitching to go with their top-ranked offense at 6.37 runs/9. They put up 26 runs on the Angels in the last 2 meetings and are priced appropriately at -160.
I will PASS on that and look to the spread.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rangers have 6 wins in the last 10 games, and 5 of them were by 2 or more runs. They are 5-5 over the last 10 against the Angels, and all 5 wins were by 2 or more runs. Texas is great on the RL at 41-23 this season and 20-10 at home.
That’s enough for me to roll with RANGERS -1.5 (+120).
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Over/Under
Neither of Monday’s starters has been very good of late. Anderson has allowed 10 ER in his last 2 starts, and Dunning allowed 7 ER in his last 2. LA is 5-5 O/U over the last 10, and Texas is 5-4-1.
The roof will be closed for this game so the 13-mph wind blowing in will have no effect. The Over is 4-0-1 in Anderson’s last 5 starts and is 3-0-1 in the Rangers’ last 4 against a lefty. The Over is 3-0-1 in Dunning’s last 4 home starts.
I’ll take the OVER 9.5 (-120).
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