Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (36-25) and Toronto Blue Jays (34-28) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series at Rogers Centre Wednesday. First pitch is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-2

The Astros had won 4 straight road games before being toppled 5-1 by the Blue Jays Tuesday. Houston had scored 8 runs per game over those 4 road victories and has won 14 of its last 20 games overall but still remains 4 1/2 games back of the AL West-leading Texas Rangers.

The Blue Jays won behind 13 strikeouts from RHP Kevin Gausman Tuesday. Toronto has won 8 of its last 11 games and has scored 4.1 runs per game over that stretch.

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Astros at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Blanco (1-0, 4.15 ERA) is in line for his 2nd start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings.

  • Only 2023 MLB start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 5-2 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Thursday
  • 2023 AAA Stats: 2-0, 0.56 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 16 IP

Bassitt (6-4, 3.34 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 74 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 3-0 road win at the New York Mets Friday
  • Career vs. Astros: 4-3, 3.90 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 49 K across 11 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • 2023 Home splits: 2-1, 2.16 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 8 ER) with a .127 OBA in 5 starts

Astros at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-150) | Blue Jays +1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Astros at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

I like putting a small bet on ASTROS (+125) as underdogs in this matchup.

Houston has been a road warrior this year, going 18-11 away from home. The Astros have a young talented arm on the bump and he got his first-start jitters out of the way and should settle in against the Blue Jays Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

I do not think there is a clear favorite in this game. These two teams are playing good baseball with Houston going 14-6 over its last 20 games and Toronto going 7-3 over its last 10. That’s why I am going to avoid the run line on both sides of this matchup.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

My lean in this game is the UNDER 9 (+100) but go with a half-unit at most.

Houston and Toronto have both gone under this total in 3 of their last 5 games but there are otherwise no heavy trends favoring either side.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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