The Houston Astros (36-24) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (33-28) on Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 3-1
In Monday’s lopsided 11-4 win over the Blue Jays, the Astros got home runs from 4 different players including OF Yordan Alvarez who hit his 16th of the season. Houston is 7-3 in its last 10 games and is 3 1/2 games behind the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West.
Monday’s loss snapped a 4-game win streak for the Blue Jays. Toronto is 9 1/2 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East despite going 7-3 in its last 10 contests.
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Astros at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
Brown (5-2, 3.61 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 62 1/3 IP.
- Has struck out 8 or more batters in 4 straight starts
- Has surrendered 3 or more ER in 3 of his last 5 turns
Gausman (4-3, 2.76 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 75 IP.
- Has tallied 7-plus K’s in 9 of his first 12 outings
- Apr. 17 at Astros: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 9-2 loss
Astros at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-175) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Astros at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Astros 3
Moneyline
The Astros have won 3 of the first 4 meetings this season, but I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-140) at home on Tuesday. Gausman boasts a 1.72 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP at home compared to a 3.76 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP on the road this season.
Run line/Against the spread
Even though the Astros +1.5 (-175) should keep this game close, taking their run line isn’t worth the risk at the current odds. PASS.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100).
Brown has been giving up multiple runs in recent starts, but Gausman has surrendered a total of just 5 earned runs in his last 5 starts. Three of those starts were a home game for the Blue Jays.
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto and is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.
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