Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (30-27) open a 3-game series against the New York Mets (30-27) on Friday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since the Mets took 2 of 3 meetings in 2021

The Blue Jays defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 on Thursday to win the series 2-1. Toronto has gone 5-5 in its last 10 contests and is 9 1/2 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

The Mets beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 Thursday to sweep the 3-game series. New York is now in 2nd place in the NL East with its recent success and is only 3 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves.

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Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Bassitt (5-4, 3.80 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 66 1/3 IP.

  • He’s allowed a combined 9 ER in his last 5 starts, including 7 ER last time out, after giving up a combined 19 ER in his first 6 turns
  • Has permitted 5 total HRs in his last 2 starts

Verlander (2-2, 4.80 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • Has allowed 6 ER in 2 of his last 3 outings
  • Owns a 4-6 record with a 4.29 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 8.3 K/9 in 15 career starts against the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

I’ll back the METS (-140) at home in Friday’s series opener. The Mets are 15-9 at home compared to the Blue Jays being 15-17 on the road.

New York is also 7-0 in its last 7 interleague home games against a right-handed pitcher.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Even though I have the Mets securing the win, the Blue Jays should keep this game competitive. That being said, taking the run line in favor of Toronto +1.5 (-175) isn’t advised at the current odds.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the total despite Bassitt and Verlander’s issues with giving up runs in certain starts. The Blue Jays are 3-0-1 to the Under in their last 4 games overall and the Mets are 6-3-1 to the Under in their last 10 games overall.

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