The New York Yankees (32-23) open a 3-game series with the Seattle Mariners (28-25) Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting in 2023; Mariners won 4-2 in 2022
New York picked up a 10-7 win over the San Diego Padres Sunday to win the season series, just one day after snapping a 3-game losing skid with a 3-2 victory Saturday. The Over result in the finale snapped a 3-0 run to the Under.
Yankees RHP Domingo German returns after a 10-game suspension for using a foreign substance in his most recent start on May 16 at the Toronto Blue Jays.
The Mariners took 2 of 3 games from the Pittsburgh Pirates in an interleague home series over the weekend. Seattle is an impressive 6-1 in the first 7 outings of the current 10-game homestand and is 5-4 in the past 9 games as a favorite on the run line.
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Yankees at Mariners projected starters
RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Bryce Miller
German (2-3, 3.75 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 48 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 6-3 road win vs. the Blue Jays on May 16
- 2023 Road splits: 1-0, 4.76 ERA (17 IP, 9 ER) with a .183 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts
Miller (3-1, 1.15 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.51 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 31 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-1 home win vs. the Oakland Athletics Wednesday
- 2023 Home splits: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 11 K) with a .103 OBA in 2 starts
Yankees at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Yankees 2
Moneyline
The MARINERS (-140) are worth a look in the series opener.
While Seattle is just 2-5 in the past 7 games against teams with a winning record and 5-11 in the past 16 at home against teams with a winning overall mark, the M’s have won 6 of their past 7 games.
German returns from his 10-game suspension and may be rust, so New York isn’t worthy of your trust, either.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARINERS -1.5 (+145) are worth playing lightly on the run line, although we should have a lower-scoring game and it could be quite the nail-biter.
Seattle has won 6 of the past 7 games overall while cashing on the run line in 3 of the past 5 games as a favorite. On the flip side, the Yankees lost last time out as an underdog against the Padres on Friday, failing to cover the run line in a 5-1 setback.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 8 (-110) is worth a look in this series opener.
The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 10 games overall for the Yankees while going 4-1 in the past 5 games on the road.
The Under is also 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Mariners while cashing in 8 of the past 11 home games. The Under has cashed at a 6-2 clip in the past 8 games at home against a right-handed starting pitcher.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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