The Cleveland Guardians (23-29) and Baltimore Orioles (34-19) open up a 3-game series in Charm City on Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; teams went 3-3 in 2022 with each team scoring 18 total runs in the 6 games
The Guardians wrapped up a 3-game home series against the St. Louis Cardinals with a 4-3 win Sunday. Cleveland finished 3-3 on its 6-game homestand and start a 7-game stretch on the road. The Guardians have lost 9 of their last 12 road games.
After 2 losses to the Texas Rangers, the Orioles got their 1st win of a 6-game homestand 3-2 on Sunday as LF Austin Hays singled in the go-ahead run in the bottom of the 8th inning. The Orioles, who are averaging over 5 runs per game on the season, have produced just 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games.
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Guardians at Orioles projected starters
LHP Logan Allen vs. RHP Tyler Wells
Allen (1-2, 3.31 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 32 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 home loss against the Chicago White Sox Tuesday
- 1st career start vs. Orioles
- Lefties are hitting .292 with a .954 OPS vs. Allen this season
Wells (3-1, 3.47 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.84 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 57 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 9-6 road victory at the New York Yankees Wednesday
- Only start vs Guardians: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-4 Baltimore’s home win June 4, 2022
- Has allowed 3 or more ER in each of his last 2 starts
Guardians at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Orioles -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 8, Guardians 4
Moneyline
You can bet the ORIOLES (-150), but I’m more interested in the run line. The Orioles are batting .260 with a .785 OPS against lefties this season.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
I love getting plus money on the ORIOLES -1.5 (+135), especially playing in Baltimore. This is why I would not put anything down on the moneyline and save it for this bet. The O’s have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 wins.
Plus, I’d save some money for the over on the run total as well.
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+135).
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Over/Under
While the Guardians have struggled to score this season, they do average over 4 runs per game away from home. The Orioles average more than 5 runs per game on the season.
Allen has allowed at least 7 hits in each of his last 4 starts. We’ve also seen Wells give up 8 total ER over his last 2 starts.
These are the back of rotation arms, so I’d expect lots of runs. BET OVER 8 (-115).
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