The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat meet for Game 4 of their best-of-7 Eastern Conference Finals series Tuesday at Kaseya Center. The Heat lead the series 3-0. Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions
The Celtics were blasted 128-102 in Game 3, and Boston is not only 0-3 straight up (SU) in this series, but also 0-3 against the spread (ATS). The Over has cashed in all 3 games to date, with Boston allowing 120.7 points per game (PPG) in the series.
The Heat have rattled off 4 straight victories, and have covered the spread in 10 of their past 12 games. The Over has connected in 5 of the past 6 games overall for the Heat, too.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 in the Conference Finals round and is 5-0 ATS in the past 5 meetings against Boston.
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Celtics at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Celtics +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Heat -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Celtics +1.5 (-110) | Heat -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Celtics at Heat key injuries
Celtics
- None
Heat
- F Kevin Love (ankle) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Celtics at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 112, Heat 108
Moneyline
The CELTICS (+105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in Game 4, as Boston will be able to extend its season at least 1 more game, shifting the series back to the Bay State for Game 5.
Boston is just 2-5 SU across the past 7 games overall, but it is 2-0 SU/ATS in 2 games this postseason when facing elimination.
Against the spread
CELTICS +1.5 (-110) is worth a look if you want a sliver of insurance, rather than picking them straight up on the moneyline.
The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 trips to South Florida while going 4-1 ATS in the past 5 games on the road overall. Boston is also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 games after a straight-up loss, while going 8-3 ATS in the past 11 after a non-cover.
Boston has its backs to the wall, and it will play with enough urgency to avoid the same fate as the rival Los Angeles Lakers, who were swept out of the postseason by the Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference Finals Monday.
Over/Under
OVER 216.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly.
The Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games on the road for the Celtics, while going 11-3 in the past 14 games overall. The Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 games in the Conference Finals for the C’s, too.
For the Heat, the Over has cashed in 11 of the past 13 games at Kaseya Center, while going 25-10 in the past 35 games in the Conference Finals round. The Over has cashed in 5 of the previous 6 meetings in South Florida, too.
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