Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (24-18) close out a 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (17-26) on Wednesday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-2

The Brewers squeaked out a 3-2 win over the Cardinals Tuesday as they bounced back from an 18-1 defeat in the series opener on Monday. Milwaukee has posted a 6-4 record in its last 10 contests.

The Cardinals had their 4-game win streak snapped with Tuesday’s loss. Despite the team’s struggles this season, St. Louis has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games.

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Brewers at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Matthew Liberatore

Burnes (4-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 45 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 3-plus batters in 4 of his first 8 starts
  • His 7.7 K/9 is his lowest mark since 2018 when he notched an 8.3 K/9 as a rookie reliever

Liberatore (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start of the 2023 season. He had a 4-1 record with a 3.13 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 46 IP in 8 starts at Triple-A this season.

  • Registered a 2-2 record with a 5.97 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9, and 7.3 K/9 in 34 2/3 in 7 starts and 2 relief appearances for the Cardinals last season
  • Has logged 6-plus K’s in 7 of his 8 starts at Triple-A this season

Brewers at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Cardinals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

There is value in taking the CARDINALS (+100) in Wednesday’s NL Central showdown even with Burnes on the mound for the Brewers. The Brewers have the 3rd-worst wRC+ (77) against left-handed pitching and the Cardinals have the 3rd-best wRC+ (116) against right-handed pitching.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Despite having the Cardinals securing the win at home, the Brewers should keep this game close enough to cover the spread. That being said, I wouldn’t advise wagering on Milwaukee +1.5 (-165) at the current odds.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean in this game with Burnes still limiting runs despite his lower strikeout totals and Milwaukee’s woes against southpaws. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall.

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