The New York Yankees (24-19) and Toronto Blue Jays (24-17) clash in game 2 of a 4-game set Tuesday. First pitch at Rogers Centre is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 2-2
The Yankees got 2 home runs from OF Aaron Judge and won Monday’s series lid-lifter 7-4. New York has banged out 21 homers while going 6-2 in its last 8 games.
Monday’s setback snapped a 3-game win streak for the Blue Jays. It marked just the 4th time Toronto has lost in 16 games at home this season.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
German (2-3, 4.00 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 45 IP.
- Has allowed an .802 OPS against current Toronto batters
- Vs. Jays on April 21: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K
Gausman (2-3, 3.38 ERA) makes his 9th start. He owns a 1.10 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 through 48 IP.
- Stumbled badly two starts back with 8 R allowed in 3 1/3 IP on May 4 at the Boston Red Sox but has otherwise not allowed a run since April 23
- At Yankees on April 23: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 11 K
- Has 37 K against just 2 BB across his last four starts.
Yankees at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Blue Jays -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-132) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Yankees 3
Moneyline
These are 2 equally matched ballclubs, but Toronto’s pitching gives the host the edge here when weighted for outlay and return.
Gausman has allowed just 4 ER over his last 26 IP against New York. He posted a fine ERA so far despite pitching around a .350 batting average on balls in play. Peg the Toronto bullpen backing him up as being slightly undervalued and the Yankee relief unit as being slightly overvalued.
There is Gausman’s 5-day rest coming into this start. When the veteran righty starts a game on 5-day rest, over his career he’s yielded a 3.20 ERA on a .655 OPS (on 4-day rest: 4.22 ERA, .750 OPS).
Toronto is the lean, but hold off for a price closer to -180 or -175.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
German is a fly-ball pitcher, and the Blue Jays rip fly-ball types (.819 OPS, 4th in MLB).
At current pricing for the Jays, the TORONTO -1.5 (+110) play is more competitive. That’s the better play unless the price drops on the moneyline.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The Under is 8-2 across the last 10 Yankees-Blue Jays games.
A hefty outward breeze is expected if the Rogers Centre roof is open. If it’s closed, BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-110). The Twitter account IsTheDomeOpen is an excellent source of that information once it becomes available later in the day, but it’s calling for a fine evening in Toronto and the dome is likely to be open.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]