The Los Angeles Angels (21-18) play the middle contest of a 3-game series with the Cleveland Guardians (17-21) Saturday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Angels lead 1-0; Angels won the season series 4-3 in 2022, with the home team winning the past 9 meetings
The Angels scratched out a 5-4 win in Friday’s series opener. L.A. trailed 4-3 heading to the top of the 9th inning, but the Halos plated 2 runs against All-Star CL Emmanuel Clase to steal a road victory.
The Guardians posted 11 hits, but 2 errors were the difference Friday, including a miscue in the 9th. Cleveland has dropped 3 of the past 4 games, while going 4-8 across the past 12 games overall.
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Angels at Guardians projected starters
LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP Cal Quantrill
Detmers (0-3, 5.10 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 30 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 10-1 home loss vs. Texas Rangers last Saturday
- Last season vs. Guardians: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER), 7 K, .211 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
Quantrill (2-2, 3.89 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 4.8 K/9 in 39 1/3 IP innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 2-0 home win vs. Minnesota Twins Sunday
- Home splits this season: 1-2, 4.70 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 8 ER), .262 OBA in 3 starts
Angels at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+135) | Guardians +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Angels at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 5, Angels 2
Moneyline
The GUARDIANS (+105) are a value play as short ‘dogs at home. Detmers has been a disaster this season, posting just 1 quality start in his first 6 starts. He has also lost 3 of his past 5 outings, and he has walked at least 2 batters in the past 2 outings, and 4 of 6 starts overall.
On the flip side, Quantrill allowed just a lone hit in 7 scoreless frames last time out. Despite Friday’s loss, Cleveland is still 12-5 in the past 17 tries against AL West opponents.
The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you want a little insurance, and can’t play them straight up for whatever reason.
Cleveland is 9-5 on the run line in the past 14 games as an underdog, with the Guardians winning 3 of the past 6 outright as a ‘dog.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 8 (+100) is the lean in this middle game.
The Under is 20-4-2 in the past 26 games overall for the Guardians, while going 3-0-2 in the previous 5 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher. The Under is 16-5-2 in the past 23 games at home, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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