The Tampa Bay Rays (28-7) and Baltimore Orioles (22-12) open a 3-game set Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rays won last season’s series 10-9
The Rays won 8-7 in extra innings as +104 underdogs vs. the New York Yankees Sunday as 3B Isaac Paredes hit a walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 10th inning. Tampa Bay took the 3-game series 2-1.
The Orioles lost 3-2 as +145 underdogs at the Atlanta Braves Sunday. The Orioles dropped the 3-game series 2-1 and have lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since April 9.
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Rays at Orioles projected starters
LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
McClanahan (6-0, 2.03 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 40 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K in an 8-1 victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
- Career vs. Orioles: 5-0, 2.45 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 35 H, 4 HR, 9 BB, 45 K in 7 starts
Gibson (4-1, 4.61 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 41 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 0 K in a 6-0 setback at Kansas City Royals Wednesday
- Career vs. Rays: 6-5, 4.35 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 74 H, 4 HR, 22 BB, 50 K in 12 starts and 1 relief appearance
Rays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-105) | Orioles +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Orioles 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Tampa Bay (-175) is 5-1 in its last 6 road games and should win again Monday, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Rays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RAYS -1.5 (-105).
McClanahan has not recorded a loss this season and Gibson struggled last time out. Baltimore seems to be coming back down to Earth after a hot start, while Tampa Bay has won 8 of 10. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing 5 or more runs and the Orioles should struggle to keep it close with their disadvantage at starting pitcher.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).
The Under is 3-0-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 4 games after allowing 5 or more runs and 11-5-1 in its last 17 vs. teams with a winning record.
The Under has hit in 8 of Baltimore’s last 11 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and should cash again Monday with McClanahan on the mound for the Rays.
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