The DC Defenders (8-1) and the San Antonio Brahmas (3-6) meet Saturday in a Week 10 XFL matchup. Kickoff from Alamodome is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Defenders vs. Brahmas odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Defenders have already clinched the North Division. DC didn’t take its foot off the gas last week, easing by Arlington 28-26 in overtime, but it didn’t come close to covering as an 8.5-point favorite. After opening 6-0 against the spread (ATS), DC is just 1-2 ATS in the previous 3 weekends. The Over is on a 7-0 run, with DC posting 28 or more points in each of the outings.
The Brahmas are still in the mix for a postseason spot, but San Antonio needs help. San Antonio not only needs to win this week — a tall order against the league’s best team — but it needs Arlington to lose to a Houston team that has already locked up a postseason spot.
San Antonio won 25-23 last week against Orlando, and it has cashed at a 3-1 ATS clip in the past 4 outings. The Over last week was a rarity, halting a 6-0 Under run for the Brahmas.
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Defenders at Brahmas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Defenders -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Brahmas +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Against the spread (ATS): Defenders -3 (-110) | Brahmas +3 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Defenders at Brahmas key injuries
Defenders
- S Kentrell Brice (leg) out
- LB Anthony Hines (quadriceps) probable
- CB Michael Joseph (adductor) out
- CB Anthoula Kelly (hamstring) probable
- CB Dejuan Neal (shoulder) out
- LB Reggie Northrup (back) probable
Brahmas
- CB Terrell Bonds (ankle) questionable
- OL Norman Price (knee) injured reserve
- OL Maea Teuhema (ankle) out
- DE Mike Tverdov (ankle) questionable
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Defenders at Brahmas picks and predictions
Prediction
Brahmas 25, Defenders 22
Moneyline
The BRAHMAS (+130) are worth a roll of the dice at home. San Antonio will be desperate for a win to stay in the mix for a playoff spot because the Brahmas are toast if they lose.
San Antonio QB Jack Coan completed 25 of 31 passes for a season-high 302 yards last week against Orlando to stay alive. That could be a problem for a Defenders team that allowed a season-high 434 yards last week against the Renegades. Again, DC wasn’t going at it as hard as possible, as it already had the North Division locked up.
Against the spread
The BRAHMAS +3 (-110) aren’t nearly as attractive catching just the 3 points. San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games overall, while DC has failed to cover in 2 of the previous 3 outings. It’s a better value playing San Antonio straight up, however.
Over/Under
OVER 41.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Over is on a 7-0 run for DC, and it still managed 28 points last week. That’s 7 straight games for the Defenders scoring at least 28 points. And on defense, DC has coughed up at least 26 points in 4 in a row.
The Brahmas aren’t exactly known for their offense, but San Antonio did post 25 points against Orlando, which was its most since Week 2 against, well, Orlando.
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