The Toronto Blue Jays (11-8) and New York Yankees (12-7) open up a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium Friday. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 11-8 in 2022
The Blue Jays lost 2 of 3 against the Houston Astros before Thursday’s off day. They’re 6-4 in their last 10 games and are 2nd in the AL East – 4 games back of Tampa Bay.
The Yankees continue their homestand after taking 2 of 3 from the Los Angeles Angels. They are 6-4 over the last 10 and 8-5 at home on the year. The Bronx Bombers are tied for 3rd place, 4.5 games behind the Rays. The Yankees are 4th in homers per game (1.46) and yield the 5th-fewest (0.74). They also allow the 2nd-fewest runs per game at 3.12.
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Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Domingo German
Kikuchi (2-0, 4.70 ERA) makes his 4th start this season. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 15 1/3 IP.
- Last start vs. Tampa: 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 9 K
- Last 5 starts vs. NYY: 1-1, 3.04 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 27 K in 23 2/3 IP
German (1-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 14 IP.
- Struck out a career-high 11 vs. Minnesota last time out on Saturday, allowing 1 ER on 3 H and 0 BB in 6 1/3 IP
- Last 5 starts vs. Toronto: 2-2, 3.16 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 22 K in 25 2/3 IP
Blue Jays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
There was some controversy during German’s last start with umpires warning him to remove rosin from his hand. He struck out a career-high 11 batters in the game, and his changeup was on point. He didn’t appear fazed by the 5-minute delay caused by the drama. He’ll carry that momentum, and the Yankees are just playing better right now.
Take the YANKEES -135.
Run line/Against the spread
Toronto should keep it close, but they’re too expensive on the RL. The Jays are just 9-10 on the RL and 6-7 on the road as well.
PASS and look to the total.
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Over/Under
The Yankees are 3-7 O/U over the last 10. It’s a cloudy, 63-degree day in the Bronx with a 9-mph wind coming in from right-center. The Under is 4-0 in NYY’s last 4 at home against teams with a winning record. The Under has cashed in German’s last 5 starts as well. I’ll take the UNDER 8 (+100) at even money.
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