Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (8-10) host the Toronto Blue Jays (11-7) on Wednesday for the finale of their 3-game set. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Blue Jays edged out the Astros with a 4-2 win Tuesday, helped by homers from 1B Vlad Guerrero Jr. and 3B Matt Chapman. RHP Chris Bassitt also threw 6 1/3 scoreless innings against the Astros’ powerful lineup, striking out 5 batters. The win snapped a 2-game losing skid.

The Astros took the series opener against the Blue Jays in dominant fashion, winning 9-2. Houston has alternated wins and losses in its last 8 games, failing to push back above .500. The Astros rank 8th in runs scored (88) and 7th in team ERA (3.43).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Blue Jays at Astros projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Luis Garcia

Berrios (1-2, 7.98 ERA) makes his 4 start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 14 2/3 IP.

  • Finally got on track in his last start on Friday, allowing just 1 run in 5 innings with 6 K’s in a win over the Tampa Bay Rays
  • Allowed 12 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his first 2 starts
  • Has only walked 3 batters all season

Garcia (0-2, 7.71 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.86 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 14 IP.

  • Has yet to go more than 5 innings in a start this season, allowing at least 3 runs in each outing so far
  • Has walked 7 batters in 14 innings
  • Has allowed 1 home run in each of his 3 starts

Blue Jays at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Astros -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Astros +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Blue Jays at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

The Astros and Garcia are due for a better performance than what they’ve shown this season. The lineup is as good as any in MLB and they’re now going up against a pitcher in Berrios who has struggled in 2 of his 3 starts. The Blue Jays hurler has a 4.81 ERA and has given up 6 home runs in his 7 starts vs. the Astros in his career.

BET ASTROS (-105) to win outright at home.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros are +1.5 on the run line, which is a good way to hedge a moneyline bet. However, at -175, there isn’t a lot of value in that line — even with Houston only needing to keep this one within 1 run.

However, the SPREADS: ASTROS -1.5 (+180) is a solid wager and worth consideration. All 8 of their wins this season have come by at least 2 runs and each of their last 6 wins has been by at least 4 runs.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 6 of the Astros’ last 10 games, including 3 of the last 4. They rank 8th in total runs this season and the Blue Jays are tied for 10th, so both teams are putting runs on the board.

With a pair of struggling starters on the bump and 2 potent lineups, I like the OVER 9 (+100), especially at even money.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]