Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Rockets (18-55) battle the Memphis Grizzlies (45-27) Friday. Tip from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockets vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Rockets lost 130-125 at the Grizzlies Wednesday but covered as 12-point underdogs. Houston has dropped 3 straight games, and 6 of its last 9, but is 5-2-1 against the spread (ATS) over its last 8 contests.

Grizzlies G Ja Morant returned from a 9-game absence in the victory, scoring 17 points. Memphis is just 2-4-1 ATS over its last 7 games, although it has won 6 of them outright, and trails the Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets by 3.5 games.

This will be the last matchup of the season between the two sides. Memphis is 3-0 and 1-2 ATS through the first 3 meetings and the Over has cashed twice.

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Rockets at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockets +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Grizzlies -950 (bet $950 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Rockets +13.5 (-115) | Grizzlies -13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Rockets at Grizzlies key injuries

Rockets

  • G Jae’Sean Tate (knee) out

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • G Ja Morant (nasal fracture) available

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Rockets at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 122, Rockets 108

Moneyline

AVOID.

A -950 NBA favorite never deserves a play, despite that the Grizzlies are the best team in the West at home (31-5) and should come out on top with ease.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -13.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies and Rockets just played, and the chances that G Jalen Green and F Jabari Smith Jr. combined to go 7-for-15 from deep again and keep the game within reach for Houston is unlikely.

Morant played just 24 minutes in his return and should move to the starting lineup Friday. He was +11 in those minutes so expect a healthy dose of him which should propel a Grizzlies cover.

Memphis is 2-2-1 ATS in its last 5 home games while Houston is 13-22 ATS on the road, one of the worst road covering rates in the NBA. Memphis is 21-14-1 ATS at home. Back the GRIZZLIES -13.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 233.5 (-108).

Both teams shot over 50% from the field in the last matchup, and that is likely to be repeated. Memphis is 2-2 O/U in its last 4 home games while Houston is 1-5 O/U in its last 6 games overall.

The Rockets typically have problems scoring, going for 114 or fewer points in 6 of their last 7 games. Considering the inconsistency of the Rockets’ offense, back the UNDER 233.5 (-108).

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