The Miami Heat (29-24) wrap up a 4-game road trip against the Milwaukee Bucks (35-17) Saturday. Tip-off from Fiserv Forum is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat have had mixed results on the road trip so far, going just 1-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), while covering the spread in just 2 of their last 7 games. The Under in total points has cashed in each of the Heat’s past 2 games, going 6-1 in their last 7.
The Bucks have won 6 consecutive games, covering in just 3 of those outings. The Bucks head into this one looking for revenge after getting swept in a 2-game back-to-back set in Miami on Jan. 12-14, failing to cover in each outing while averaging just 98.5 PPG as the Under hit in both contests.
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Heat at Bucks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Bucks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +5.5 (-115) | Bucks -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Bucks key injuries
Heat
- G Victor Oladipo (ankle) doubtful
- G Gabe Vincent (ankle) questionable
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
- F MarJon Beauchamp (knee) probable
- G AJ Green (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Bucks picks and predictions
Prediction
Bucks 112, Heat 107
Moneyline
The Bucks (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s risky business considering that the Heat (+170) have won the first 2 meetings outright this season.
PASS.
Against the spread
HEAT +5.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly, as Miami has won and covered each of the first 2 meetings this season outright. Of course, each of those meetings were in South Florida, not Wisconsin.
While Miami is just 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games overall, it has cashed in 7 of the past 10 games against teams with a winning overall mark.
The Bucks -5.5 (-105) are just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games against winning teams, too, and Milwaukee has failed to cover each of the past 4 meetings overall in this series.
Over/Under
UNDER 222.5 (-110) is the lean in Cream City on Saturday.
The Under has been a routine happening for the Heat lately, going 6-1 in the past 7 games overall, while cashing at a 5-1 clip in the past 6 games when working on a day of rest.
But while the Under is the dominant trend for Miami, the Over is 13-5 in the past 18 home games for Milwaukee. Still, the Under hit in the first 2 meetings this season.
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