The No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks (16-3, 5-2 Big 12) battle the No. 22 Baylor Bears (14-5, 4-3) Monday. Tip from Ferrell Center is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
The Jayhawks were destroyed 83-60 against TCU on their home court Saturday, failing to cover as 7-point favorites. Kansas has now failed to cover its last 4 straight and is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8. The Jayhawks are 3-1 straight up on the road. Their strength is offense, ranking 78th in the country in points per game (76.3).
The Bears beat the Oklahoma Sooners 62-60 Saturday, pushing as 2-point road favorites. Baylor is 9-9-1 ATS this season and 3-0-1 ATS over its last 4 games. Its strength is also offense, ranking 30th in the nation in points per game (79.6).
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Kansas at Baylor odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Baylor -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas +1.5 (-105) | Baylor -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Kansas at Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 77, Kansas 74
Moneyline
PASS.
I like Baylor to win on its home court, but prefer the better value with the spread.
Against the spread
LEAN BAYLOR -1.5 (-115).
The Bears are riding a 4-game win streak, and the more impressive part is that 3 of those wins came on the road against Big 12 opponents. Like Kansas, Baylor lost at home against TCU (88-87 on Jan.4), but that is clearly a far more reasonable outcome than a 23-point thrashing.
Baylor is 2-2 ATS against ranked opponents while Kansas is 2-4 ATS. Kansas is also just 2-5 ATS against conference opponents while Baylor is 3-3-1. The lack of consistency from Kansas in conference play and against top-tier opponents makes BAYLOR -1.5 (-115) the better play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 148.5 (-115).
Baylor has gone Over in 4 of its last 6 games and has topped 80 points in 4 of those battles as well. Both teams have efficient, high-tempo offenses which should push the pace and both are 11-8 O/U this season as well.
Kansas has alternated between the Over and Under in its last 6 contests and is due for an Over after going Under the 146.5 total against TCU Saturday. Baylor is 5-2 O/U in conference games while Kansas is 3-4 O/U.
Couple it all together, and back the OVER 148.5 (-115).
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