The Oklahoma City Thunder (22-24) battle the Denver Nuggets (33-13) Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Thunder lost to the Sacramento Kings 118-113 Friday, pushing as a 5-point road underdog. Oklahoma City is 29-16-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games. It is just 8-15 straight up on the road. OKC’s strength is offense, ranking 8th in points per game (116.9).
The Nuggets have been dominant at home, posting a 22-3 straight-up record. They are 25-21 ATS on the season. Denver is coming off a 134-111 win over Indiana at home, covering as a 6-point home favorite. The Nuggets’ strength is offense, ranking 1st in FG percentage (51.2%) and 1st in 3-point FG percentage (39.9%).
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Thunder at Nuggets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Nuggets -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +6.5 (-115) | Nuggets -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Thunder at Nuggets key injuries
Thunder
- None
Nuggets
- G Bones Hyland (finger) questionable
- C Nikola Jokic (hamstring) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (hip) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 125, Thunder 115
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets should come out on top with ease, but at this value, nothing is worth playing on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS -6.5 (-115).
Denver is 15-9-1 ATS at home and 18-14-1 ATS against conference opponents. It has an MVP hopeful on its team and is incredibly efficient offensively.
The Thunder have consistently covered, but they rank 11th in opponents’ 3-point FG percentage (35.4%) and 20th in opponents’ points per game (115.9). The Nuggets should be able to abuse those weaknesses.
OKC snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 5-point loss to Sacramento, and with the Thunder standing on the road, back NUGGETS -5.5 (-118), as their league-best offense should dominant Sunday.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 239.5 (-105).
The Thunder have gone Over in 7 of their last 10 games, and they have scored at least 112 points in 5 straight games. Oklahoma City averages 116.9 points per game as well, so it should want to push the pace. OKC is 27-19 O/U this season.
The Nuggets are 22-24 O/U this season. They have gone Over in 2 of their last 4 and have scored at least 115 in their last 9 games. Ultimately, considering both offenses are efficient and should provide points, back the OVER 239.5 (-105).
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