In a light heavyweight championship bout in the main event, Glover Teixeira and Jamahal Hill meet Saturday at UFC 283 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. and the main card beginning on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m.
Teixeira lost his belt against Jiri Prochazka last time out at UFC 275 in June. He was submitted in Round 5 and has ended up with 4 straight stoppages, winning 2 by submission and 1 by a KO/TKO.
The Brazilian has gone the distance just once in the past 7 fights — a split-decision win over Nikita Krylov in Sept. 2019.
Hill is on the rise rather quickly, picking up 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins. That includes a 4th-round win over Thiago Santos last time out in early August. Each of his past 5 fights has resulted in KO/TKO, with 4 victories during that span.
Hill has a 3-inch reach advantage and a 2-inch height advantage, and the southpaw holds a 6.46-to-3.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage over the veteran. Teixeira will want to get the fight to the mat, where he is more potent, but Hill will want to keep the bout upright to use his tremendous punching power.
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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Teixeira +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hill -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -130 | Under -105)
- Will the fight go the distance? Off the board (OTB)
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UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill picks and predictions
Records: Teixeira (33-8-0) | Hill (11-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
HILL (-140), a.k.a. “Sweet Dreams”, looks rather youthful at just 31 years old. The southpaw will be looking to use his tremendous punching power to drop the former champ early.
Hill has KO/TKO wins over Thiago Santos, Johnny Walker and Jimmy Crute, but the 43-year-old Teixeira will be one of his biggest tests yet.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-130) is a good play, as the veteran Teixeira might not win this fight, but he isn’t going to get dropped early in the main event. He’ll be trying to slow Hill and mitigate his punching power by getting his fight to the canvas.
However, the result of the fight will be what everyone expects — HILL BY KO/TKO (-104) at near even money — and it won’t go much further than the middle of Round 2.
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