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The Los Angeles Chargers (10-7) take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) Saturday for a Wild Card Weekend playoff game. Kickoff from TIAA Bank Field is at 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Chargers vs. Jaguars odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chargers had a 4-game win streak snapped with a 31-28 loss in Week 18 at the Denver Broncos. While Los Angeles managed to hit the 10-win mark on the season, only 1 of its victories came against a team that finished the season with a winning record — a 23-17 win over the visiting Miami Dolphins in Week 14. L.A. has struggled against the run, allowing 205 rushing yards in its Week 18 finale despite not resting its starters and finishing the season with an average of 145.8 rushing yards allowed per game (28th).
The Jaguars enter Wild Card Weekend on a 5-game win streak. Jacksonville topped the Tennessee Titans 20-16 in Week 18 and supplanted the Titans atop the AFC South to gain its playoff berth. While QB Trevor Lawrence did not have his best game in Week 18 (20 of 32 for 212 yards and 1 TD), he has come on strong in his 2nd season in the NFL. Lawrence has taken over the leadership of the Jaguars as he wrapped the year with 4,113 passing yards, 25 TDs and 8 INTs.
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Chargers at Jaguars odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chargers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Jaguars +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chargers -2.5 (-109) | Jaguars +2.5 (-111)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -107 | U: -113)
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Chargers at Jaguars key injuries
Chargers
- OL Rashawn Slater (biceps) out
- WR Mike Williams (back) out
Jaguars
- WR Jamal Agnew (shoulder) questionable
- QB Trevor Lawrence (toe) questionable
- LS Ross Matiscik (back) questionable
- OL Brandon Scherff (abdomen) questionable
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Chargers at Jaguars picks and predictions
Prediction
Jaguars 24, Chargers 20
Moneyline
The JAGUARS (+115) are live ‘dogs Saturday.
Not only are they coming in on a 5-game win streak, but Williams won’t play after being carted off the field Sunday against the Broncos and being held out of practice so far this week.
With Jacksonville averaging 124.5 yards per game on the ground and the Chargers allowing 145.8, RB Travis Etienne should see plenty of carries in this game. That will keep the Chargers’ offense on the sideline and the Jaguars in the driver’s seat to win a close affair.
Against the spread
JACKSONVILLE +2.5 (-111) is the way to go if you are not comfortable with the moneyline.
This line has been fluctuating all week and will continue to do so until game time. If no injury concerns arise before Saturday, the Jaguars are the correct side. The home team has covered the spread in 8 of 9 games that it’s been an underdog of 3 or fewer points on Wild Card Weekend. This trend bodes well for the Jaguars to cover in this game — and so does the Chargers’ inability to beat winning teams. Only 1 of their 10 wins came against a winning team, a Week 14 victory over Miami.
Over/Under
UNDER 47.5 (-113) is the bet in this game.
The Jaguars beat the Chargers earlier in the season 38-10 in Los Angeles. This game came while the Chargers were playing without WR Keenan Allen and Williams, which left them playing 1-dimensional football. With Allen suiting up they at least have one of their reliable weapons, the Jaguars will attempt to keep the Chargers offense on the sidelines with long sustained drives. This will lower the score and make the Under the correct play.
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