The No. 7 Creighton Bluejays (6-1) take on the No. 2 Texas Longhorns (5-0) Thursday. Tip from Moody Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
The Longhorns will be taking the court for the time since Nov. 26. when they took down Texas Rio Grande Valley 91-54 at home and covered as 33.5-point favorites.
Texas has been a double-digit favorite in 4 of its 5 games and continues that trend Thursday. The only game the Longhorns played with a single-digit spread was a 93-74 win over Gonzaga as 2-point favorites Nov. 16.
The Longhorns are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season with the Bluejays sitting 5-2 ATS. Creighton has covered 4 straight games with 3 of the 4 having a closing spread of 5 or fewer points.
Creighton beat both Arkansas (90-87, Nov. 22) and Texas Tech (76-65, Nov. 211) on neutral ground but lost 81-79 to No. 4 Arizona last time out on Nov. 23. The loss to Arizona was Creighton’s 3rd game in as many days.
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Creighton at Texas odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Creighton +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Texas -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Creighton +6.5 (-110) | Texas -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Creighton at Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 71, Creighton 67
Moneyline
PASS.
Texas (-300) is a heavy favorite and is 4-0 at Moody Center with a big-time win over Gonzaga. While Creighton has proven itself, this will be its first road game, and backing an upset isn’t worth the value.
Against the spread
BET CREIGHTON +6.5 (-110).
Texas’ efficiency so far this season is something to marvel at. Its top five scorers all shoot over 47% from the field, and 3 of the 5 are shooting over 35% from downtown. The Longhorns sit 20th in field-goal percentage (50.3%), but it is their defense where they thrive, allowing just 52.8 points per game (6th).
Justifying those numbers is where it gets sticky as Creighton is the more proven side. Texas beat Gonzaga by 19, but the Bulldogs were also destroyed by Purdue by 18 points and almost lost to Xavier. Texas hasn’t played another game where it was favored by fewer than 20 points.
Creighton has taken down Texas Tech, which just dropped outside of the top 25, and No. 11 Arkansas. It also covered a 3.5-point spread against No. 4 Arizona.
The Bluejays rank 9th in the nation in field-goal percentage as well (51.2%). They are a more proven team and have 3 close, hard-fought games which should give bettors more comfort in backing CREIGHTON +6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 139.5 (-110).
Since Chris Beard took over as head coach in 2021, the Longhorns have gone 17-20-2 O/U. Beard has his team playing defense at a high level, ranking 6th in opponents’ points per game (52.8) and 8th in opponents’ field-goal percentage (35.1). They are 1-3-1 O/U this season.
Creighton is 4-3 O/U and the Longhorns should control the tempo of this game on their home court. Both teams rank outside the top 70 programs in the nation in field goal attempts per game.
Back the UNDER 139.5 (-110).
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