New Orleans Pelicans at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (5-3) visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks (5-3) Saturday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans come into this game after beating the shorthanded Golden State Warriors 114-105 at home Friday, failing to cover as 11-point favorites. The Pelicans are just 3-3 after a 2-0 start.

New Orleans is led by F Brandon Ingram, who is averaging 23.0 points per game. With 3 players over 20 per game and 5 in double figures, the Pelicans have a diverse offense with many capable scorers.

The Hawks are also 3-3 over their last 6 games following a 2-0 start. Atlanta comes in as the more rested side, having not played since a 112-99 win in New York Wednesday, winning outright as a 2.5-point underdog.

G Trae Young is the star for Atlanta, averaging 27.5 points per game despite shooting just 38.5% from the field. G Dejounte Murray, their main offseason acquisition, has been impactful as well in putting up 22.0 points per game.

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Pelicans at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pelicans -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Hawks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +1.5 (-110) | Hawks -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Hawks key injuries

Pelicans

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
  • G Trae Young (eye) questionable

Hawks

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Pelicans 115

Moneyline

BET HAWKS (-117).

Atlanta is a far better team at home than on the road, and that rang true last season as well. It was 20-15 against the spread (ATS) as a home favorite last year.

The Hawks went out and added Murray to create one of the best backcourts in the NBA and also strengthened a clear defensive weakness as the new addition should be able to limit G CJ McCollum.

The Pelicans are coming off a high-pace home game and may struggle to slow down Young. Rest will play a factor here, and I believe Atlanta gets it done at home.

Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll just play the Hawks straight up here instead of taking a marginally better value for the 1.5-point spread.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 230.5 (-110).

Both teams rank in the top ten in offensive rebounding rate, and both also rank outside the top ten in defensive rebounding rate. The Hawks are 10th in pace, and that increases to 6th at home.

These teams are also a combined 11-5 O/U this season. Considering the pace, rebounding strength and trends, back the OVER 230.5 (-110).

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