Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (4-1) visit Fiserv Forum to take on the undefeated Milwaukee Bucks (4-0) Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks are coming into this battle as the league’s only undefeated team, and what makes it more impressive is that they’ve done it without All-Star G Khris Middleton.

Milwaukee has beaten Houston, Philadelphia, New York and Brooklyn. F Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the team, averaging 34.5 points, 13.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.

As for the Hawks, they are tied with the Cavaliers for the 2nd-best record in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta’s lone loss has come against the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hawks are led by G Trae Young, who is averaging 29.4 points per game yet is shooting just 39.3% from the field and 29.3% from deep. Offseason acquisition G Dejounte Murray is averaging 19.8 points per game.

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Hawks at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Bucks -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +5.5 (-117) | Bucks -5.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hawks at Bucks key injuries

Hawks

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Bucks

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For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 120, Hawks 112

Moneyline

PASS.

I’m backing Milwaukee here, but the -210 isn’t quite good enough to consider them to just straight-up win.

Against the spread

BET BUCKS -5.5 (-103).

The Hawks are 4-1, but look at who they have beaten. Detroit twice, Houston and Orlando — those teams are a combined 3-14.

Young is scoring at a career-high pace, but those numbers are clouded by awful shooting splits as he is shooting under 40% from the field and under 30% from deep.

With an All-Defensive G Jrue Holiday on the other side Saturday, those inefficiencies may be exasperated. Given Antetokounmpo looks unstoppable and the Bucks have the best defensive rating in the NBA, I would back them to cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 229.5 (-108).

Neither team sits in the top 10 in offensive rebounding or effective field goal rate. Neither pushes the pace either, and the Hawks have the 2nd-best turnover rate in the NBA.

While Holiday is a stud defensively, Murray is as well, and the defensive-minded guards should be the stars of the night Saturday. Atlanta was 10-17 O/U as a road underdog last season.

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