Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Capitals (4-3-0) and Dallas Stars (4-2-1) meet Thursday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Capitals vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Capitals doubled up the New Jersey Devils 6-3 last time out on the road Monday, winning for the 4th time in the past 5 outings. While Washington has had success, it has allowed 3 or more goals in each of its last 4 games, cashing the Over in each outing.

The Stars dropped back-to-back road games against the Ottawa Senators Monday (4-2) and Boston Bruins Tuesday (4-1). Dallas will be happy to be back on home ice, as it is 2-0 so far with the Under going 1-0-1 this season at American Airlines Center.

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Capitals at Stars odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Capitals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Capitals +1.5 (-230) | Stars -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Capitals at Stars projected goalies

Darcy Kuemper (3-2-0, 3.04 GAA, .899 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (4-1-0, 1.41 GAA, .953 SV%)

Kuemper has struggled with his new team, allowing 3 or more goals in 4 of his 5 outings so far. The good news is that he has had plenty of offensive support that has resulted in winning 3 of his last 4 games.

Oettinger suffered a hard-luck loss Tuesday in Boston, allowing 2 goals on 28 shots. He had won his first 4 starts, and he has yielded just 2 or fewer goals in every outing to date. He is 2-0 with a 1.00 GAA and .964 SV% at home this season.

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Capitals at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Capitals 2

Moneyline

The STARS (-130) are a nice value on home ice.

Dallas lost both of its games on the recently concluded 2-game road trip, but it has been a different story on home ice. Dallas is 2-0 in a pair of home games with a goal differential of plus-7. Look for more of the same Thursday.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Capitals +1.5 (-230) are a little on the expensive side, costing you more than 2 times your potential return for a little bit of insurance. That’s too costly. If you like Washington, take it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-120) is worth a look, but the play has its risk. The Over is on fire for the Caps, going 4-0 in the past 4 outings and 4-1 in the previous 5 against winning teams while cashing in 14 of their last 20 road games dating back to last season.

However, for the Stars, it’s all about the Under. The Under is 5-1-2 in the past 8 games overall while cashing at a 12-3-3 clip across the past 18 games against teams with a winning overall record.

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