The No. 21 Texas Longhorns (5-2, 3-1 Big 12) will be in Stillwater to battle the 11th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-1, 2-1) Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Texas vs. Oklahoma State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
After suffering its 1st loss of the season last week — 43-40 at TCU in double overtime — Oklahoma State returns home to battle Texas in a game which will make or break the conference championship ability for each of these teams.
Cowboys QB Spencer Sanders has been playing terrific since the 2nd half of a 37-35 Fiesta Bowl win Jan. 1 against Notre Dame. Suffering an injury in the season opener, Longhorns QB Quinn Ewers was able to return 2 weeks ago to help lead a surprising 49-0 rout at Oklahoma. In last week’s 21-17 escape against visiting Iowa State, the freshman showed why he’s considered among the best young QBs in the country. Along with star RB Bijan Robinson and WR Xavier Worthy, Texas looks like it might finally be back if not this year, in 2023.
The Oklahoma State defense has not been the top-5 unit it was last season under departed defensive coordinator Jim Knowles (now with Ohio State). But new DC Derek Mason has kept the defense in the top half of the NCAA rankings. With the offense behind Sanders reverting to the days when it was scoring to win games, the defense is good enough to win the Big 12.
This will be a fun game between 2 good offenses and 2 of the best QBs in the conference. Be ready for some fireworks.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports.
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Texas at Oklahoma State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:51 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas -6.5 (-110) | Oklahoma State +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Texas at Oklahoma State picks and predictions
Prediction
Oklahoma State 37, Texas 31
Moneyline
OKLAHOMA STATE (+190) is the play.
Not only are the Cowboys coming off their first loss of the season, but they return home knowing this is it for them in terms of the Big 12 race.
While Texas struggled and should have lost against an overmatched Iowa State team, Oklahoma State and Sanders will not be outmatched.
Mason’s Oklahoma State defense will make stops in this game and Texas’ Ewers will be confused by the defenses shown to him.
I like the Cowboys to get back on track. OKLAHOMA STATE (+190) my FAVORITE BET of this game.
Against the spread
Take Oklahoma State +6.5 (-110) if you’re not confident enough or nervous playing the +190 ML. Or, you can divvy up your 2 wagers (ML and spread) to equal 1½ units.
Oklahoma State will win this game outright. But if you want some wiggle room (or if you are adding this into a parlay), Oklahoma State +6.5 (-110) is safer and should still help you win some money.
Over/Under
BET OVER 61.5 (-107).
Yes, the defense for Oklahoma State can shut down some teams. But not Texas. The Longhorns offense just has too many weapons and with Ewers behind center, they have a QB to get the ball to them.
The Cowboys are coming off a game in which they gave up 43 to TCU in a double-OT loss. This game may not go to overtime, but the Longhorns can still get to 30.
I see the Cowboys getting more than 30 and that means an OVER 61.5 (-107) will hit.
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