The Air Force Falcons (4-2, 1-2 Mountain West) will face the UNLV Rebels (4-2, 2-1) Saturday at Allegiant Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Air Force vs. UNLV odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Air Force lost straight up as an 11-point favorite last Saturday, 34-27 at the Utah State Aggies. Falcons QB Haaziq Daniels finished with 95 yards passing, 1 TD, 1 INT and rushed for a score as Air Force failed to cover the spread as a double-digit favorite for the 2nd consecutive game.
UNLV failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog in a 40-7 loss at the San Jose State Spartans on Oct. 7. Rebels QB Cameron Friel threw for 143 yards and 1 TD on 14-of-19 passing as UNLV failed to cover the spread for the second consecutive game after starting the season 4-0 against the spread (ATS).
In their last meeting, Air Force covered as an 18-point favorite in a 48-14 home win vs. UNLV on Nov. 26, 2021.
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Air Force at UNLV odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:16 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Air Force -380 (bet $380 to win $100) | UNLV +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force -9.5 (-115) | UNLV +9.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Air Force at UNLV picks and predictions
Prediction
Air Force 38, UNLV 14
Moneyline
PASS.
Air Force (-380) ML is too expensive to bet. Look to the spread and total for better opportunities.
Against the spread
BET AIR FORCE -9.5 (-115).
Air Force will come out extra focused after getting embarrassed as a double-digit favorite last Saturday. The Falcons have the No. 1 rushing offense in the nation (359.8 yards per game) and should dominate time of possession vs. UNLV. Lay the points with the extra motivated, superior team.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 49.5 (-115).
This number has been bet down too far to take the Under. I would lean toward the Over at this point considering how low the number is and some trends that support a higher-scoring game. The Over is 8-2 in Air Force’s last 10 games and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at UNLV.
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