The San Diego Padres face the New York Mets in Game 2 of an NL Wild Card Series Saturday. First pitch from Citi Field is at 7:37 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Padres lead the playoff series 1-0.
The Padres homered 4 times against RHP Max Scherzer in Game 1 of the series en route to a 7-1 victory. Scherzer allowed all 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings, while Padres RHP Yu Darvish went allowed 1 run on 6 over 7 innings.
The Padres won 4 of the 6 regular-season meetings.
The Mets headed into the postseason on a 3-game win streak; the Padres wrapped up the regular season by going 3-5 across their final 8 regular-season games.
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Padres at Mets projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Jacob deGrom
Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA in the regular season) makes his 1st start of the postseason.
- Had a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 128 IP in the regular season
- Is 2-3 with a 2.83 ERA (35 IP, 11 ER) and 1.09 WHIP with 44 K over 9 career postseason appearances (7 starts)
deGrom (5-4, 3.08 ERA in the regular season) makes his 1st start of the postseason.
- Had a 0.75 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 14.3 K/9 over 64 1/3 IP in the regular season
- Is 3-1 with a 2.88 ERA (25 IP, 8 ER) and 1.16 WHIP with 29 K in 4 postseason starts
Padres at Mets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+127)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Padres at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
deGrom was not dominant in September. He allowed 3 or more runs in each of his final 4 starts, logging a 6.00 ERA over 21 innings over that span.
The Padres won 2 straight games in each 3-game regular-season series.
Snell allowed only 2 runs over his final 4 starts for a 0.72 ERA across 25 innings.
Take the PADRES (+150).
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres were 44-37 ATS on the road in the regular season. The Mets were 41-40 ATS at Citi Field entering the postseason.
Only 5 teams had more road wins than the Padres’ 45 in the regular season.
You should go with the moneyline if you like the Padres to win — it offers so much more value. However, if you prefer the spread, taking the Padres to cover is still worth a wager.
Take the PADRES +1.5 (-165).
Over/Under
Five of the 7 meetings between these sides in 2022 have had 6 or more total runs.
deGrom’s last 3 starts and 4 of the 5 he had in September had 6 or more total runs.
Including Game 1, 5 of the Padres’ last 6 games have had at least 6 total runs, while the Mets’ last 20 games have all had 6 or more runs.
Take OVER 5.5 (-108).
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