The Minnesota Twins (73-74) and Kansas City Royals (58-89) begin their 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium Tuesday with 1st pitch at 8:10 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Twins lead 12-4
The Twins are fading down the stretch. They are 6-12 in September with their only saving grace coming from a sweep of the Royals. After losing their series to the Cleveland Guardians, the Twins need to turn things around immediately to have a chance at the postseason.
The Royals have already been eliminated from the playoff hunt and have also struggled this month. They are 5-11, scoring more than 4 runs just 3 times.
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Twins at Royals projected starters
RHP Dylan Bundy vs. RHP Zack Greinke
Bundy (8-7, 4.68 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 127 IP.
- Is 1-1 with a 5.93 ERA and 3.10 opponent batting average in his 3 September starts
- Gets 4.69 average run support per start
Greinke (4-9, 4.10 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Lost Wednesday to Twins with 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB in 4 IP
- Averages 0.77 ERA in wins and 6.59 ERA in losses.
Twins at Royals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $105 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+122) | Royals +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Twins at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 4, Royals 3
Money line
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and despite their recent sting of losses still post a winning record against the AL Central at 35-29.
The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 opening games of a series. And they are 39-70 against right-handed pitchers.
LEAN TWINS -130
Run line/Against the spread
As a road favorite the Twins only cover 42% of the time with a 14-19 record. But the Royals don’t instill confidence. They are 50% ATS in division games and 51.9% ATS as a home underdog. I don’t like Minnesota here, but at -150 I’m not sure I’d take Kansas City. I will AVOID.
Over/Under
Coming into their game with a rest advantage, the Royals hit the Under 5 of the last 6 games. The Twins are the opposite, when playing against a more rested team their Under record is 5-3-1.
Bet UNDER 8.5 (-102)
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