San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (78-66) continue their road series Friday against the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-75) with the second game of their 4-game series. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 11-5

The Padres were shut out 4-0 in the series opener Thursday for their 4th loss in their last 5 games. They maintain a 1 1/2 game lead for the final wild-card spot in the National League.

The Diamondbacks won their second straight game behind rookie RHP Drey Jameson, who pitched 7 scoreless innings in his major league debut.

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Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. LHP Madison Bumgarner

Snell (6-9, 4.02 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 103 IP.

  • The Padres are 6-14 in his starts
  • Arizona beat him 5-0 in his start against them Sept. 5 but he allowed only 1 run on 4 hits and 1 walk with 10 strikeouts over 6 innings

Bumgarner (6-14, 4.88 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 147 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 or more runs in 7 of his last 8 outings
  • Is 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA across 4 starts vs. the Padres in 2022

Padres at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line

The Diamondbacks have lost 6 of Bumgarner’s last 8 starts and he has struggled against the Padres, posting an ERA of 5.29 against them this season.

The Padres have lost 4 of Snell’s last 5 turns. However, he pitched very well the last time he faced the Diamondbacks and just got no offensive support.

The Diamondbacks have not won more than one game in any series against the Padres, so predicting a second consecutive win for them in this series seems unlikely.

With the price of the money line, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres are 39-36 ATS on the road this season. Eight of their 11 wins over the Diamondbacks have been by at least 2 runs.

Eleven of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Five of Bumgarner’s last 7 starts have had totals of 9 or more runs, but 3 of his 4 starts against the Padres have had 8 or fewer runs.

Eleven of the 16 games between the two teams this season have had 8 or fewer runs.

Five of the last 6 games for Arizona have had 8 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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