Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (69-64) and Kansas City Royals (55-81) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 7-4

The Guardians had lost 5 games in a row and 8 of their previous 10 before winning Monday’s series opener 6-5 in 10 innings. Cleveland had 3 extra-base hits Monday; it hadn’t had more than 2 in a game since Aug. 26.

The Royals are just 8-15 since Aug. 12. Kansas City pitching has especially had trouble on the mound of late. The Royals own a 5.52 ERA over their last 10 games.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Kris Bubic

Bieber (8-8, 3.06 ERA) has registered a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 159 IP across 25 starts.

  • Tied a season-high with 11 K in his last start; made 104 pitches in that start. That total marks his highest in a single game since June 14.
  • Owns a 2.88 ERA on the road
  • Has held current K.C. batters to a strikeout-laden .640 OPS

Bubic (2-10, 5.47 ERA) owns a 1.67 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 105 1/3 IP in 23 games (22 starts).

  • Facing a Cleveland lineup that ranks 29th in OPS against left-handers (.628)
  • Owns a 7.45 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over his last 4 starts

Guardians at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-115) | Royals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 4

Money line

The Royals are a lean but not an actionable one at this price. There’s a lot of juice obscuring an underdog play here. AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

Bubic has been hurt by a .330 batting average on balls in play. Recent starts have been even more unlucky. He’s also backed by a bullpen with a fatigue edge.

With the way the Royals have hit at home and with the Guardians scuffling a bit lately, BACK THE ROYALS +1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-102).

Peg the Kansas City offense as being a value — especially at home.

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